Global Development Forecast
Impersonalization
Impersonalization represents the activities, mainly technology based that people apply into their daily matters to improve the comfort level. Applying give to people feeling of better life.
Geopolitical transformation
Behavior of people
Behaviour of People represents the mental and behavioural approach of people during the global power transformation and ecology migration.
2020
GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION
1. Global protocols of security in pandemic
Full-time monitoring including mobile phones and cameras and vaccination passes. Total biometric control of the people across countries.
GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION
2. Global migration crisis
Quarantine and cost-cutting increase negative tension in relationships between nationalities and migrants in countries with higher immigration.
GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION
3. Global finance crisis
GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION
4. Hunting witches in biotech
Laboratory researchers are under public relations attack by people that count them guilty of the pandemic trying to find someone to blame.
GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION
5. Programs of guaranteed allocation and unconditioned income
Global governments of well-developed countries implement programms of guaranteed work-load to support economics stabilization.
GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION
6. Food crisis on critical countries
GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION
7. Corona world
Vaccination seems to be insufficient, virus mutating, and people learn to live with an understanding of “coronavirus existence”.
GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION
8. Mass nationalization of banks
Mass bankruptcy of countries’ economies force governments to nationalize banks starting with the additional taxes on “unexpected revenue”
GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION
9. New cold war
Beginning of the cold war between China, the USA, and Europe as a result of mass China expansion into the corona-impacted countries.
GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION
10. New Marshal's plan
Leading global economies develop a plan for the resurrection of bancrupted and low-developed countries that will lead to their debt to supporters.
GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION
11. Release debt with low-income countries
Creditors release debts to low-developed countries. As the effect happens mental dependency on the creditors will use it to improve political power.
GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION
12.Technotyrany, or digital democracy
Governments of the world implement new forms of control of people, but there is a high risk to make the system transparent and democratic.
IMPERSONALISATION
13. Graveyard of Unicorns
Unicorns in Silicon Valley go bankrupt en masse due to inability to maintain previous business model.
IMPERSONALISATION
14. "Clean Zones" and the Right to a Clean Life
The creation of clean zones through rapid testing systems AND “immunity passports” helps rebuild the economy, but leads to the division of the population.
IMPERSONALISATION
15. Everything goes online
Digital transformation accelerates in all sectors because of quarantine.
IMPERSONALISATION
The collapse of urban economic bubbles
Fear of contagion and non-contact alternatives in delivery and services are drastically reducing traditional urban economy: commercial properties, malls, parks, and large facilities are closing.
IMPERSONALISATION
Massive increase in unemployment
Due to the expected economic downturn, companies around the world are massively cutting jobs.
IMPERSONALISATION
Immunity Passports
Those who have been infected or are immune to the covid-19 virus receive an indivisor, allowing them to work in “contact” sectors and restore the economy.
IMPERSONALISATION
5g + space internet as core ICT infrastructure
Building the infrastructure of the digital economy is accelerating.
IMPERSONALISATION
Eliminating Digital Illiteracy and Reducing the Digital Divide
“Digital” are becoming a “way of life,” a greater proliferation of digital solutions is narrowing the gap in a very short time.
IMPERSONALISATION
Resetting global technology markets
New players in digital “and not only” sectors are catching up or noticing existing ones.
IMPERSONALISATION
Networking ways of organizing businesses and markets
Digital transformation is changing and simplifying organizational structures, the economics of industries.
IMPERSONALISATION
Blended learning as the new normality of education
The dramatic growth of educational technology solutions and the transformation of blended learning into the new standard of education.
IMPERSONALISATION
A hit on environmental sustainability
As the economy recovers, cheap but environmentally unsound solutions become more popular.
PEOPLE BEHAVIOUR
A new line of explosion of social experimentation online
The emergence of so many new formats of self-organisation and collective reflection to overcome the pandemic.
PEOPLE BEHAVIOUR
The psychological trauma of quarantine-returning quarantine
Lifestyle changes lead to psychological problems in adults and children “including as a result of the second and subsequent waves of coronavirus.
PEOPLE BEHAVIOUR
Increase in domestic and public violence
Quarantine and pending crisis lead to a surge of violence in families and on the streets.
PEOPLE BEHAVIOUR
Emergence of a phenomenon in online spirituality
As a result of isolation, religious worship and new spiritual practices are actively moving online, and new practice formats are emerging.
PEOPLE BEHAVIOUR
A celebration of disobedience
Tired of quarantine and state control leads to confrontation between the population and the authorities. Mass uprisings and an increase in crime, including new types.
PEOPLE BEHAVIOUR
Blockchain rush to the rescue
Cryptocurrencies and blockchain solutions create new spaces of trust and help rebuild economies where governments can’t handle it
PEOPLE BEHAVIOUR
The vogue for the intangible economy
Expansion of digital consumption alternatives leads to a “minimalist” lifestyle.
PEOPLE BEHAVIOUR
The New Civic Solidarity
Networked civic projects and initiatives prove to be an effective and more cost-effective alternative to public and private projects.
PEOPLE BEHAVIOUR
With the privatisation of personal data
Leading demands of new social movements become the ownership of personal data and the ability to capitalize on it at your own will.
2023
GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION
African ISIS
Growing the ridiculous Islamic sections in middle Africa’s region and occupying higher territories under their control (direct or indirect).
GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION
China internationalism
China offers a new global ideology in the opposition to the American liberal model trying to get global leadership. USA fights against via media propaganda.
GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION
End of global system of security of 20th century
The global system of security getting reconstructed by countries that were the best in efficiency in solving the problems of coronavirus.
GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION
End of petrol-economics (including Arabian countries)
Decreasing requirement for petrol. Regions, economics that’s developed around petrol-segment coming to a long term crisis.
GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION
The end of old populism and new generation of politics
Populistic governments can be conquered due to their incompetence to solve economic and social troubles after the corona crisis.
GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION
Nationalization of tech standards
Countries – leaders of Islands beginning to nationalize systems of technological standards in key areas.
GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION
New world "finance center" in Asia
The risk of national security and the requirement of privatization of personal data force nationalize the biggest players of the global IT market.
GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION
Islanding - the politics of big Techno-blocks
Transfer to the new geopolitical model developed around possibilities of macro-regionak blocks with self-sufficient technologic and industrial politics.
GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION
Generation and gender conflict all blame old white man
The politics of the old generation became guilty of negative evolution after the crisis (primarily economic) creating a force on alternative leaders.
GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION
Split/Nationalization of IT giants
Transfer of money and development of the new split of global finance in centers in Singapore, Koala Lumpur, and Bangkok. After the crisis in Hongkong and Dubai.
GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION
End of EU and, end of the EURO
Impossibility to coordinate the EU to come out of the crisis forced countries to leave the EU starting with eastern countries like e.g. Hungary and Polland.
IMPERSONALISATION
Tax on migrants (link to labour productivity and automation)
Governments of developed and rapidly developing countries impose a tax on the use of immigrant labour to develop new technological sectors with high labour productivity.
IMPERSONALISATION
Transition to mass automation/networked economy
Accelerated transition by unmanned and non-contact solutions in all sectors to make them resilient to future pandemic scenarios.
IMPERSONALISATION
Relocation of production of critical goods "food, medicine and other
Large-scale relocation of production in developed countries using new technologies.
IMPERSONALISATION
Digital Healthy Live and Neo-Eugenics
Using personal geometry for biohacking and making yourself “superhuman,” highlighting a cohort of healthy lifestyle oriented people who use “digital” to continually improve themselves and their children.
PEOPLE BEHAVIOUR
Full-cycle contracts
Distributions include, as required by regulators, cradle-to-cradle model contracts (costs including full recycling or recovery) in industrial and urban areas.
PEOPLE BEHAVIOUR
New privacy "opt-in option"
The possibility of regulating one’s own openness to the world-controlling one’s personal data and one’s image as a “fare plan” emerges.
PEOPLE BEHAVIOUR
New 1968: environmentalists, traditionalists, and others
The large-scale public conflict between the old elites and all those affected by the crisis, but a new “recovery of the well-to-do” led to the rise in popularity of environmentalism, traditionalism, and leftist travel.
PEOPLE BEHAVIOUR
New Asceticism
New generations are adopting an ascetic lifestyle model, following environmental and anti-capitalist values “promoted by governments and investors as the New preferred lifestyle.
PEOPLE BEHAVIOUR
Zeroing in on Student Debt in the U.S. and the end of the ratings era
In the wake of the new year of 1968 and the Prospects economy, U.S. authorities decide to renew student debt and create a system of government support for higher education. The student loans market is winding down with it the rating system of higher education institutions.
PEOPLE BEHAVIOUR
The winding down of the consumer economy
Investors begin to withdraw en masse from assets and projects betting on the development of a consumer economy and encourage large companies to seek a new philosophy of value creation theory development.
2025
GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION
Russia, Germany, Arabian Block
The unexpected alliance of Europe (technology), Russia (geopolitics), and the Arab countries (resources) leads to the formation of an additional Island.
GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION
The Monroe Doctrine 2.0
The U.S. reiterates the priority of dominance in Latin America and supports this vector financially and politically.
GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION
The Kyoto protocol in education
Islands agree on new ways to fairly offset the costs of human capital development between countries and between blocks.
GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION
League of Nations 2.0 (control of Bio and Cyber)
Creating a new system of control over Cyber and Bio developments that pose a threat to humanity (e.g. nuclear).
GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION
The New Space Infrastructure-Competition for Leadership
The major powers are creating their own support infrastructure in the orbit of the Earth and the moon to begin colonizing the solar system.
GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION
New regional instability
A series of regional conflicts “like the war in Syria” erupts on the borders of islands or in their zones of influence-Africa, the Middle East, Southeast Asia, Latin America, and others.
GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION
"New Comintern"
The unification of countries that find themselves on the losing end of the next wave of globalization, led “explicitly or implicitly” by one of the islands of “most likely China”.
GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION
Reopening “Northern sea” way
The Northern Sea Route is receiving significant traffic as a result of increasing problems with passage through the Red Sea.
GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION
The first big cyber war
A big “Battle” to take over control of the critical resources of the economy (e.g. energy, transport) between the Islands, to be fought by the proxy states.
GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION
US: Neo-Rouveltianism
The need to maintain U.S. leadership and pace of development leads to “socializing”- nationalizing a number of critical industries and launching large-scale national programs in education, health care, construction, etc.
IMPERSONALISATION
Africa as EUROMEX "new southeast Asia" in the division of labor
Active industrialization of Africa: northern territories under Europe’s “EuroMex”, western under the U.S. “new Southeast Asia”, eastern under China and the rest of Asia.
IMPERSONALISATION
"Venturization" of Traditional industries in developed countries "USA, EU" and the "sprawl" of the Silicon Valley model
The need to accelerate the development of traditional sectors and the search for new areas of capital application Leads to the “unpacking” of traditional infrastructure industries “rail transport, construction and other.” for venture capital investment.
IMPERSONALISATION
Ocean development project as a unifying opportunity for second-tier countries
New opportunities in the ocean “mariculture, terraforming, underwater settlements, and more. ” as an opportunity for second-tier countries to take leadership positions in the twenty-first century.
IMPERSONALISATION
"Wheat Ilon Mask": a global network food producer for the twenty-first century
One of the leading venture capitalists is creating a new global network food producer for the XXI century.
IMPERSONALISATION
Russia as a Leader in New Green Energy sources (Nuclear and Hydrogen)
Renewable energy paradigm incorporating hydrogen and nuclear energy Russia is among technological leaders in energy transition
IMPERSONALISATION
"Fractality": the spread of autonomous/modular solutions in the economy
Autonomous “green” solutions for homes, apartment complexes, and communities are being implemented, as well as local systems in all critical products
IMPERSONALISATION
AI suited into education system
AI coming to the schooling system, monitor education progress and recognise the proper presentation algorithms based on the students’ capabilities.
PEOPLE BEHAVIOUR
Climate refugees
A series of environmental disasters in the equatorial belt special in the Indian peninsula leads to a surge in the flow of refugees for environmental reasons.
PEOPLE BEHAVIOUR
Martian Lifestyle
Community groups emerge that begin to prepare for the colonization of Mars and an ascetic way of life on another planet.
PEOPLE BEHAVIOUR
New Caste (relying on genotypes and lifestyles)
The emergence of new “tribes” with appropriate status and specializations based on genotype.
PEOPLE BEHAVIOUR
New Asian solutions to "ideas for billions"
In response to the Crisis of early 2025 tech companies in China, India and Asean offer massive cheap solutions to hunger including insect food, mariculture, urban farming, and more.
PEOPLE BEHAVIOUR
Reassembling the global social democratic project
The emergence of new movements uniting the social democratic forces of the 21st century and offering a new idea to Europe, as an answer to the demand for a new identity
PEOPLE BEHAVIOUR
The transition to ecological-generative models in the countryside and in the cities
Awareness of how quarantine has affected the environment is an opportunity to quickly rebuild the economy around environmentally friendly solutions. the regenerative economy becomes the new business paradigm.
PEOPLE BEHAVIOUR
Development of fundamental natural technology
Development of “nature-like” technology related to a deep understanding of the mechanism of living systems, and new production-management systems based on them.
PEOPLE BEHAVIOUR
Franchise types of leadership
territories, settlement and residential complexes with a spread set type of decision-making theory leadership and related services.
Last update: November, 2022
